Wednesday, May 27, 2015

Pakistan Textiles: Decline in non-value dragging overall exports

Pakistan Textiles: Decline in non-value dragging overall exports
 
Textile exports continued their downtrend in the month of Apr’15 as 10MFY15 exports declined by 1.4%YoY to clock in at USD11.3bn from USD11.5bn in similar period last year. While on MOM basis, the total exports reported a growth of 4.6% to USD1.1bn from USD1.03bn clocked in the last month. Going forward, we expect the country’s total textile exports to remain flattish at ~USD14bn during the outgoing FY15. While on the budgetary front, the recommended hike on duty of textile exports (from 2%-5%)
bodes negative for the sector and will likely hamper the competitiveness of Pakistani exports in the international market. The recently approved Gas Infrastructure Development CESS Ordinance, 2015 (with few amendments) is likely to have mixed impact on the bottom-line of the companies in BMA textile universe (GATM the most affected). We highlight NML as our top pick from textile sector with a TP of PKR149/sh, offering 45% returns on last closing.
 
Report by:
Jehanzaib Zafar
 
BMA Capital Management Ltd.
 
This report produced by BMA Capital Management Ltd. contains information from sources believed reliable; we do not guarantee that the matter is accurate or complete. Our Research Analysts compile this memorandum based on opinions and judgments, which may vary and be revised at any time without notice. This report is for information only and is not an offer to buy or sell, or solicitation of any offer to buy or sell the securities mentioned. It is published for the use of our clients may not be reproduced, distributed or published by any person for any purpose whatsoever. Action will be taken for unauthorized reproduction, distribution or publication. The views expressed in this document are those of the BMA Research Department and do not necessarily reflect those of BMA or its directors.
 

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