Pakistan Textiles: Decline in non-value dragging overall exports
Textile
exports continued their downtrend in the month of Apr’15 as 10MFY15
exports declined by 1.4%YoY to clock in at USD11.3bn from USD11.5bn in
similar period last year. While on MOM basis, the total exports reported
a growth of 4.6% to USD1.1bn from USD1.03bn clocked in the last month.
Going forward, we expect the country’s total textile exports to remain
flattish at ~USD14bn during the outgoing FY15. While on the budgetary
front, the recommended hike on duty of textile exports (from 2%-5%)
bodes negative for the sector and will likely hamper the competitiveness of Pakistani exports in the international market. The recently approved Gas Infrastructure Development CESS Ordinance, 2015 (with few amendments) is likely to have mixed impact on the bottom-line of the companies in BMA textile universe (GATM the most affected). We highlight NML as our top pick from textile sector with a TP of PKR149/sh, offering 45% returns on last closing.
bodes negative for the sector and will likely hamper the competitiveness of Pakistani exports in the international market. The recently approved Gas Infrastructure Development CESS Ordinance, 2015 (with few amendments) is likely to have mixed impact on the bottom-line of the companies in BMA textile universe (GATM the most affected). We highlight NML as our top pick from textile sector with a TP of PKR149/sh, offering 45% returns on last closing.
Report by:
Jehanzaib Zafar
BMA Capital Management Ltd.
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